Are commercial real estate prices destined for the same fate as what’s happened in the housing market?
Roxann Colter asked:
The CMBS market is paralyzed and the CMBX says prices will fall 23 percent over the next three years. There are a lot of interest only commercial real estate mortgages in CMBS portfolios and many will begin amortizing this year. If a recession is upon us and those borrowers can’t meet their debt service requirements under the new amortization – it seems to me we have a repeat of what is happening in the subprime universe.
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The CMBS market is paralyzed and the CMBX says prices will fall 23 percent over the next three years. There are a lot of interest only commercial real estate mortgages in CMBS portfolios and many will begin amortizing this year. If a recession is upon us and those borrowers can’t meet their debt service requirements under the new amortization – it seems to me we have a repeat of what is happening in the subprime universe.
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